Predicting the Effectiveness of Rapid Tests Performed to Patients with COVID-19 through Linear Regression and Random Forest

  • Darwin Patiño Pérez Universidad de Guayaquil, Ecuador
  • Celia Munive Mora DeSales University, United States
  • Lorenzo Cevallos-Torres Universidad de Guayaquil, Ecuador
  • Miguel Botto-Tobar Universidad de Guayaquil, Ecuador https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7494-5224
Keywords: COVID-19, Machine Learning, Linear Regression, Random Forest, Prediction

Abstract

The rapid spread of SARS-CoV2 (COVID-19) has caused a collapse of health systems worldwide, so a strategy to control the spread is the timely detection of the virus through rapid tests, which allows acting and thus giving a timely treatment that reduces its spread. With the help of artificial intelligence techniques, within the subfield of machine learning or machine learning, there have been significant advances that allow speeding up the analysis of large volumes of data. This study aims to determine the effectiveness of rapid tests in detecting covid-19, using machine learning, applying a methodology that involves the creation of linear regression and Random Forest models with the Python programming language. In the methodology used, the models were created, which were then defined and trained, and after performing the tests and predictions, the validation metrics determined the precision and effectiveness of these models. From the results obtained, it is concluded that the random forest model is good since it provided a precision of 61%, but with the linear regression model, it was determined that it has a precision level of approximately 90%, so finally, with these results, health professionals will be able to make reliable predictions regarding the effectiveness of rapid tests as a mechanism that will help to quickly detect the presence of the virus and thus reduce the spread of the virus.

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Published
2021-09-30
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How to Cite
Patiño Pérez, D., Munive Mora, C., Cevallos-Torres, L., & Botto-Tobar, M. (2021). Predicting the Effectiveness of Rapid Tests Performed to Patients with COVID-19 through Linear Regression and Random Forest. Ecuadorian Science Journal, 5(2), 31-43. https://doi.org/10.46480/esj.5.2.108
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